Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context

The lives and livelihoods of people around the world are increasingly threatened by climate-related risks as climate change increases frequency severity high-impact weather. In turn, risk multiple hazards occurring simultaneously grows compound impacts become more likely. World Meteorological Organization (WMO) proposed use multi-hazard impact-based forecasting (IbF) to better anticipate reduce concurrent hazards, but yet, there few operational examples in humanitarian sector. Drought is particularly susceptible influences. However, challenges encountered development drought IbF systems – including poor understanding specific hazard-focused mandates raise important questions for feasibility envisioned WMO. With these mind, we propose an interim approach which real-time assessment dynamic vulnerability provides a context drought-based IbF. incorporation indicators account local effects non-drought whilst system facilitates effective intervention. will improve our events, enhance adoption sector, mitigate hazards.